Visão do mercado
The FX markets in general were trading quietly, except from the US dollar versus the Japanese Yen. The USDJPY on Friday rose to new 4 ½ year high at 103.30 due to stronger US dollar on FED member Williams’ comments about reducing asset purchases. Also US dollar strengthened on University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Friday release at 83.7 for May, much more than expected at 77.9 and higher than April 76.4 figure. Thus on Friday bulls were in control lifting the currency pair, however Japanese Economic Minister comments before Monday Asia session that further weakening of the Yen would have negative effects in people’s livelihood. The latter weighed on the currency pair that opened lower on Monday morning with a price gap and is currently trading around 102.65.
The US dollar index recovered from yesterday low at 83.41 and is currently moving towards its 15th of May high at 84.05. The greenback was strengthened as the president of the FED Bank of San Francisco, Williams, said that the FED may withdraw partially from its buying pace of $85 bln bond per month in the summer since jobs sector has improved substantially and economy is steadily recovering. Nonetheless, the currency pair was weighed by more than expected Jobless Claims of 360K the previous week, up from 328k two weeks ago, a 9.76% increase. 
The USDJPY declined from yesterday highs at 102.75 towards downside hurdle at 101.97, that limited further lows as Japanese preliminary GDP for Q1 increased by 0.9% beating estimates of a 0.7% advance and up from previous quarter 0.3% increase. Annualized Q1 GDP displays a 3.5% expansion, higher than forecasts of 2.7% and much more than previous quarter growth of 1%. Weaker Yen boosted Japanese exports and that in turn positively contributed to GDP growth, another factor positively influencing growth was the recently adopted stimulus program by Bank of Japan and the government. Next target is fighting back deflation, which resists steadily as Japanese GDP Deflator decreased by 1.2% in the Q1, more than projections at -0.9% and down compared to -0.7% the previous quarter. The currency pair negative...
The greenback held its upbeat tone advancing widely against its major counter parties coupled by US stocks returning back to gains, advancing to new record highs with US 10-Year bond yields climbing to almost two month high at 1.98% in yesterday session. The US dollar index rose above previous resistance at 83.39 and is currently trading at 83.79, holding a bullish bias in the intraday and approaching key resistance at 84.09, that level would most likely limit upside in the immediate term. US Small Business Index surged beating estimates to 92.1 in April from 89.5 in March underpinning further equities and the currency. The S&P 500 advanced by 1.01% to 1650.34, Dow Jones rose by 0.82% to 15215.25 and NASDAQ composite gain by 0.69%.
Markets were not much volatile during Monday and early on Tuesday with most of the major pairs fluctuating in a tight short-term range. Although US retail sales surprisingly increased more than estimates by 0.1% in April, up from a decline of 0.5% in March, the US dollar index after trading in 83.39/83.04 range yesterday, it dropped today to support at 82.92. US equity indices were mixed with S&P 500 remaining unchanged at 1633.77, NASDAQ composite also was unchanged at 3438.79 and Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.18%.
The Japanese Yen sell off continued early in the morning on Monday after breaching on Thursday major resistance at 100. In addition as equities advance investors move their funds to stocks for potentially greater returns. The USDJPY rose as high as 102.12 on Monday approaching 161.8% Fibonacci extension of 99.88 to 95.80, at 102.51. US S&P 500 on Friday made a new close high at 1633.70, advancing by 0.43%, Dow Jones also finished at a record close high at 15118.49 and at the same time the benchmark US 10-Year Bond Yield climbed the previous week from 1.65% to 1.90% suggesting that traders seek greater returns in stock markets.
The US dollar advancement triggered as the Jobless Claims reported for previous week were 323K, surprisingly less than expected at 333K and lower than 327K claims two weeks ago. The US dollar continued strengthening in almost all Thursday session against the most of its peers. The US dollar Index found support at 81.69 on Wednesday and yesterday was dynamically pushed to higher ground due to more than five years low of number of persons claiming unemployment benefits, reaching as high as 82.81. 
O dólar australiano contra o dólar dos EUA subiu acentuadamente após relatório de empregos dos pontos baixos cerca de 1,0154 para a barreira de cabeça em 1,0252, e observe as tentativas ascendentes desde que a tendência geral é negativo. Além disso, as perdas cambiais recuperado corte da taxa quando o presidente RBA observou que "as taxas de câmbio têm pouco mudou no nível historicamente elevado", e você verá que a flexibilização da desvalorização monetária Aussie falhar inesperadamente. 
Aussie força foi gerada pela taxa de desemprego menor do que o esperado em abril, que registrou 5,5%, enquanto os participantes do mercado esperava 5,6%, e foi inferior à taxa de 5,6% em março. Além disso, o emprego aumentou 50.1K amplamente em abril, superando as estimativas...
Quando o apetite pelro risco melhorou ontem à tarde sessões de estoques dos EUA, que atingiram novos máximos. A média industrial do Dow Jones subiu acima de 15 mil pela primeira vez, sendo um aumento de 0,58%, o S & P 500 subiu 0,52%, atingindo novas máximas em 1.625,96, eo Nasdaq fechou em alta de 0,11%. Esta manhã superávit comercial da China reforçou o sentimento de risco. As exportações da China em abril aumentou 14,7%, em comparação com o aumento estimado de 9,2% e 14,1% a mais que em março. As importações também foram maiores, com aumento de 16,8% em abril, mais de 14,1% em março, conluyendo em um superávit comercial de US $ 18.16B em abril, mais de US $ 0.88B, em março. Assim, as bolsas asiáticas "assumiu" dos EUA, com NIKKEI que adicionou 0,74% e Hang Seng 14.285,69,...
O dólar australiano em relação ao dólar dos EUA caiu para 1,0179, depois que o Banco da Reserva da Austrália inesperadamente cortou a taxa de dinheiro em 25 pontos base para um recorde de baixa de 2,75%. Em sua nota, o governador disse RBA Aussie foi mudado pouco em relação aos níveis historicamente elevados, enfraquecendo as exportações e, portanto, de fabricação. Baixas taxas pode pressionar aumento da taxa de desemprego, que em março cresceu de 5,4% para 5,6%, enquanto as vendas no varejo em março foram reduzidos em 0,4%. Além disso, o corte da taxa é feito para suportar o crescimento da economia com inflação esperada para estar no mesmo nível do ano passado. Por fim, o índice de preços doméstico cresceu 0,1% em março, muito menor do que o previsto e aumento de 2%...
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