AUD/USD Analisi Tecnica - AUD/USD Trading: 2021-07-28


AUDUSD forecast bearish despite commodities price index rise

Technical Analysis Summary AUD/USD: Sell

IndicatorVALUESignal
RSINeutro
MACDSell
Donchian ChannelNeutro
MA(200)Sell
FractalsSell
Parabolic SARSell

Chart Analysis

The AUDUSD technical analysis of the price chart on 1-hour timeframe shows AUDUSD: H1 has fallen below the 200-period moving average MA(200) which is falling itself. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 0.7338. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 0.7374. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

Analisi Fondamentale -

The Index of Commodity Prices continued to rise in second quarter. Will the AUDUSD reverse its sliding?

The Index of Commodity Prices continued to rise in second quarter. Commodities account for over half of Australia's export earnings. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported the Index of Commodity Prices rose 0.8% over quarter in Q2 in April after 0.62% increase in Q1 when 0.7% growth was expected. This is bullish for AUDUSD. However the technical setup is bearish for the pair.