Federal Reserve set to hike rates | IFCM ジャパン
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Federal Reserve set to hike rates

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    2023/02/27
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US broad stock market edged higher and the ICE US dollar index rose significantly last week as lawmakers worked to bridge the differences between Senate and House of Representatives version’s of tax bills. The SP 500 added 0.4% and the ICE dollar index climbed 1.1% for the week.

The ICE dollar index advanced in every session last week. It gained 0.2% Tuesday as the Senate Banking Committee backed the nomination of Jerome Powell for the Federal Reserve Chairman. The dollar index rose 0.2% on Friday as nonfarm payrolls came in stronger than expected.

The SP 500 advanced in Thursday and Friday sessions last week. It lost 0.1% Monday as technology stocks fell on concerns Senate bill’s Alternative Minimum Tax will negatively impact technology stocks. The AMT is a provision which will make corporations pay a minimum tax of 20% if tax breaks make their tax bill too low. The broad market fell 0.4% Tuesday as US trade deficit jumped 8.6% in October and the Institute for Supply Management’s index of service industry companies fell to 57.4 in November from a 12-year high 60.1 in October. SP 500 rose 0.5% Friday as 228 thousand new nonfarm jobs were created in November, higher than an expected 195 thousand increase. However the 0.2% on month increase in wages was slightly below forecasts.

Central bank decisions in US, Europe, United Kingdom and Sweden are the major economic events this week. The Federal Reserve is expected to hike federal funds rate to 1.25%-1.5% range. The main issue is policy makers’ expectations how many times the central bank will hike rates next year. Policy makers’ predictions will be reflected in the dot plot. The Fed decision will be released Wednesday. Policy makers at European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are expected to hold monetary policy steady at their respective meetings on Thursday.

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