- マーケット分析
- テクニカル分析
AUD/CHF テクニカル分析 - AUD/CHF 取引:2018-11-30
Weaker Swiss data bullish for AUDCHF
Switzerland’s economy slowed more than expected in the third quarter. Will the AUDCHF climb continue?
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the interest rate at 1.5% and revised up a little its forecasts for economic growth in 2018 and 2019 at its November 6 meeting. Economic data have mostly been mixed since its last meeting. However while Australian business investment unexpectedly contracted in the third quarter the estimate of total investment through the 2018-19 fiscal year was upgraded to $114.1 billion Australian dollars, up 11.3% from an estimate made three months ago. Meanwhile Switzerland's economy unexpectedly shrank last quarter: Swiss gross domestic product slid 0.2% on quarter, resulting in a 2.4% growth over year instead of expected 2.9%. Weaker Swiss data are bullish for AUDCHF .
On the 4-hour timeframe AUDCHF: H4 is trading with positive bias after hitting one-month low twenty days ago.
- The Parabolic indicator has formed a buy signal.
- The Donchian channel indicates no trend yet: it is flat.
- The MACD indicator is above the signal line with the gap widening. This is a bullish signal.
- The Stochastic indicator is falling but has not breached into the oversold zone.
We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 0.7309. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the lower Donchian channel at 0.7193. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (0.7193) without reaching the order (0.7309) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position | Buy |
Buy Stop | Above 0.7309 |
Stop loss | Below 0.7193 |
【重要な注意事項】:
本レポートは、当社の親会社であるアイエフシーマーケットが作成したものの邦訳です。本レポートには、当社のサービスと商品についての情報を含みますが、お客様の投資目的、財務状況、資金力にかかわらず、情報の提供のみを目的とするものであり、金融商品の勧誘、取引の推奨、売買の提案等を意図したものではありません。 本レポートは、アイエフシーマーケットが信頼できると思われる情報にもとづき作成したものですが、次の点に十分ご留意ください。アイエフシーマーケットおよび当社は、本レポートが提供する情報、分析、予測、取引戦略等の正確性、確実性、完全性、安全性等について一切の保証をしません。アイエフシーマーケットおよび当社は、本レポートを参考にした投資行動が利益を生んだり損失を回避したりすることを保証または約束あるいは言外に暗示するものではありません。アイエフシーマーケットおよび当社は、本レポートに含まれる不確実性、不正確性、不完全性、誤謬、文章上の誤り等に起因して、お客様または第三者が損害(直接的か間接的かを問いません。)を被った場合でも、一切の責任を負いません。