Higher Chinese imports bullish for soybean price
テクニカル分析のサマリー 大豆: 買い
| インジケーター | 水準 | シグナル |
| RSI | 横ばい | |
| MACD | 買い | |
| Donchian Channel | 横ばい | |
| MA(100) | 買い | |
| Fractals | 買い | |
| Parabolic SAR | 買い |
チャート分析
On the daily timeframe the SOYB: D1 has breached above the 100-day moving average MA(100), which is falling. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper boundary of Donchian channel at 876. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the last fractal low at 832. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (832) without reaching the order (876), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
分析 -
China’s soybean imports increased in recent weeks. Will the soybean prices continue rising?
China is the world top soybean importer, and its April imports from Brazil were nearly triple March shipments of 2.099 million tons(mt). China bought 5.939 mt of soybean from Brazil in April, according to General Administration of Customs data. Soybean imports in May, June and July are expected to top 9 mt a month, well above average levels from Brazil. At the same time US Department of Agriculture reported weekly US soybean export inspections rose nearly 2.0 million bushels from last week to 14.6 million bushels for the week of May 22-28. And USDA announced a 6.8 million bushel soybean sale to an unknown buyer yesterday, believed by many to be shipped to China. Higher exports to China are bullish for soybean prices. Nevertheless China’s soybean imports from US for the marketing year to date are 48.6% lower than the five-year average. And there were reports Beijing ordered state owned firms to halt large scale US soybean and pork purchases as US-China tensions rose. Today USDA is due to release its weekly export report, and low shipment data are a downside risk for soybean price.