USD/SGD テクニカル分析 - USD/SGD 取引：2021-01-20

テクニカル分析のサマリー USD/SGD: 買い

チャート分析

On the daily timeframe, USDSGD: D1 broke through the downtrend resistance line. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for further growth. We do not rule out a bullish move if USDSGD rises above the last maximum and the last high fractal: 1.333. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss below the minimum since April 2018, the last lower fractal, the lower Bollinger band and the Parabolic signal: 1.313. After opening a pending order, we move the stop loss to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (1.313) without activating the order (1.333), it is recommended to delete the order: the market sustained internal changes that have not been taken into account.

分析 -

Singapore's export growth may have been driven by a weak base effect. Will the USDSGD quotes move up?

The upward move signifies the weakening of the Singapore dollar against the greenback. In December 2020, Singapore's Non-Oil Exports rose by +6.8% yoy after falling by -5% in November and -3.1% in October. According to Moody’s agency, part of the December growth was due to a low base amid trade wars and a downturn in electronics sales. Recall that at the end of 2020, Singapore's GDP decreased by 6% (according to Moody’s). The decrease in the current account was 20%. The government debt rose to 130% of GDP. December inflation data, which will be released on 25 January, may affect the dynamics of the Singapore dollar. The projected deflation is -0.2 yoy. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (Central Bank of Singapore) rate is 0.06%.