돼지고기 선물 기술적 분석 - 돼지고기 선물 거래: 2021-03-09


China almost regains hog livestock after ASF

기술적 분석 요약 돼지고기 선물: 판매

인디케이터신호
RSI판매
MACD판매
MA(200)중립적
Fractals중립적
Parabolic SAR판매
Bollinger Bands중립적

차트 분석

On the daily timeframe, LHOG: D1 approached the uptrend support line. It should be broken down before opening a position. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a decrease. We do not exclude a bearish move if LHOG falls below the last lower fractal: 85.5. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss above the maximum since May 2019 and the Parabolic signal: 91. After opening a pending order, we can move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and place a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (91) without activating the order (85.5), it is recommended to delete the order: the market sustains internal changes that have not been taken into account.

- 기본 분석

China sells pork from its state reserves. Will the LHOG quotes move down?

The China Merchandise Reserve Management Center sold 670,000 tonnes of frozen pork last year. Its selling continues this year. In 2019, China experienced an ASF (African swine fever) outbreak, which killed about half of the pig stock. However, at the end of 2020, the Chinese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs reported that the production capacity of the pig industry recovered and already reached 90% of pre-ASF levels. In January 2020, Chinese hog livestock was 283 million heads and increased to 376 million over a year. Last week, new cases of ASF were recorded in Sichuan and Hubei provinces. However, there is no evidence yet that they will develop into another epidemic. In theory, the selling of pork from the Chinese state reserve and the restoration of the livestock may contribute to a correction in prices.