NZD USD 기술적 분석 - NZD USD 거래: 2024-04-19


NZDUSD forecast bearish after slowing New Zealand inflation data

기술적 분석 요약 NZD/USD: 판매

인디케이터신호
RSI중립적
MACD판매
Donchian Channel중립적
MA(200)판매
Fractals중립적
Parabolic SAR판매

차트 분석

The technical analysis of the NZDUSD price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows NZDUSD,H4 is retreating under the 200-period moving average MA(200) after rebounding to test it. We believe the bearish movement will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 0.5850. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed below 0.5927. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals . Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

- 기본 분석

New Zealand’s inflation eased in the first quarter. Will the NZDUSD price continue retreating?

New Zealand’s inflation eased in the first quarter: the Statistics New Zealand report indicated the annual inflation rate fell to 4.0%, from 4.7% in the prior quarter. The price increases in the March quarter were the smallest since June 2021. Despite the slowdown, the inflation is above the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s forecast of 3.8% and its target range of 1% to 3%. In the March quarter, the CPI rose 0.6% over quarter after 0.5% increase in Q4 2023. Slower than forecast easing of New Zealand inflation is bullish for the New Zealand dollar and NZDUSD pair. However the current setup is bearish for the pair.