IFCMarkets Technical Analysis

Технический Анализ #S-NVDA : 2025-08-27

Wed, 27 Aug 2025 09:56:00 +0200

Оптимистичный прогноз Nvidia перед квартальным отчетом

Акции Nvidia вчера закрылись ростом на 1,09% в преддверии публикации сегодня после закрытия рынка отчета за второй квартал. Аналитики прогнозируют, что выручка Nvidia вырастет на 53% по сравнению с прошлым годом и составит около 46 миллиардов долларов, согласно исследованию FactSet. Они прогнозируют, что Nvidia заработает 1,01 доллара на акцию, за исключением некоторых статей, не связанных с текущей деятельностью, что на 49% больше, чем за аналогичный период прошлого года. Хотя ожидается, что лидер в области ИИ продолжит тенденцию впечатляющего роста, рост выручки Nvidia в последнем квартале, по оценкам, будет значительно ниже 122%, зафиксированных за аналогичный период прошлого года. Аналитики обеспокоены убытками бизнеса из-за торговой войны президента Трампа с Китаем. Запрет на продажу чипов Nvidia для ИИ в Китае нанес ущерб финансам Nvidia на 4,5 миллиарда долларов в первом финансовом квартале. По оценкам Nvidia, эти ограничения обойдутся ей примерно в 8 миллиардов долларов во втором квартале, как упоминалось в пресс-релизе компании за первый квартал. Позже президент Трамп разрешил Nvidia продавать чипы в Китай в обмен на 15%-ное сокращение продаж компании в этой стране. Пекин ответил распоряжением о проведении тщательной проверки чипов, произведенных в США, и предупредил местных разработчиков ИИ-решений о недопустимости использования иностранных чипов для критически важных процессов. Ранее в августе Китай потребовал от крупных разработчиков ИИ, включая Tencent и Bytedance, обосновать свои закупки чипов. А на прошлой неделе Nvidia обратилась к некоторым своим поставщикам, включая Amkor Technology Inc. и Samsung Electronics Co Ltd., с просьбой приостановить производство компонентов для своих чипов H20, продажи которых были повторно одобрены Вашингтоном. Более значительное, чем ожидалось, падение выручки Nvidia от продажи чипов в Китае представляет собой риск снижения стоимости акций Nvidia. Однако текущая ситуация складывается в пользу роста акций Nvidia.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Купить
Donchian Channel		Купить
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Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Купить
Buy stop	выше 182.28
Stop loss	ниже 175.82

Технический Анализ AUDUSD : 2025-08-26

Tue, 26 Aug 2025 08:14:00 +0200

AUDUSD bias bearish as Government speeds up housing approvals

Australia’s government has unveiled a set of measures to accelerate home construction amid a deepening housing crisis. The government wants to fast-track assessments for over 26,000 new homes and freeze further changes to construction laws to ramp up approvals. Artificial intelligence will be used to streamline implementation. The government also aims to unlock over AUD 8 billion in housing investment by easing restrictions on pension fund participation. The reforms are designed to ease supply constraints that worsened in post-COVID period as development pipelines halted and construction costs surged. Increasing housing construction as housing approvals are accelerated is bullish for Australian dollar and AUDUSD currency pair. However the current setup is bearish for the pair.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
On Balance Volume		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 0.64704
Stop loss	выше 0.64930

Технический Анализ LTCUSD : 2025-08-25

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 08:09:00 +0200

LTCUSD forecast bearish as companies await SEC decision on LTC ETF

There were reports last Thursday the US SEC has delayed the XRP, SOL, and LTC spot ETF approvals as it set new deadlines for October 2025. ETF approval processes typically introduce financial volatility while analysts cite these delays as routine rather than terminal. Investors maintain confidence in long-term shifts toward non-BTC/ETH asset legitimacy if proposals proceed successfully. Key players such as Bitwise , CoinShares, and Grayscale have pending applications for these spot ETFs. Anticipated LTC sport ETF approval by SEC is bullish for LTCUSD price. However, the current setup is bearish for the altcoin price.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Продать
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
On Balance Volume		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Продать

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 114.44
Stop loss	выше 119.39

Технический Анализ #S-WMT : 2025-08-22

Fri, 22 Aug 2025 08:59:00 +0200

Walmart stock forecast bearish after Q2 earnings miss

Walmart stock fell 4.5% yesterday as earnings missed Wall Street estimates. The stock sold off despite 4.8% rise in Q2 sales to $177.4 billion which beat the consensus revenue estimate of $175.5 billion. Overall gross margins were about flat at 24.5% versus 24.4% last quarter, missing consensus estimates of 24.9%. On a constant-currency basis, revenues grew 5.6%, reflecting strong performance across all business segments. Walmart stock sold off despite reporting better results than rival Target. Walmart's comparable sales growth at stores open at least one year was 4.6% in Q2, up from 4.2% one year ago. Transactions rose 1.5%, down from 3.6% last year, while average ticket, or the amount spent per transaction, rose 3.1%, up from 0.6%. For comparison, Target reported a 1.9% comparable sales decline and an online sales growth of only 4.3% in the quarter. The retail and wholesale giant indicated the average ticket growth was partly due to inflation and passing along higher costs associated with tariffs, which increased Walmart's import costs, and the company would increase prices this summer as announced earlier to offset tariff-related costs. Walmart said it continued to see cost increases each week as inventory was replenished at post-tariff price levels and those costs will continue rising in the second half of the year. However, the company reported tariff impact wasn't as big as expected so far as Walmart has raised prices maybe 1% since the end of the first quarter. The company’s operating income decreased 8.2% year over year to $7.3 billion. The company cited tariffs as the primary challenge, as well as discrete legal and restructuring costs. Adjusted operating income is up 0.4% in current currency terms. Still, management raised its full-year guidance: sales guidance was increased to 3.75% to 4.75% growth from 3% to 4% prior forecast while operating income growth guidance was unchanged - up 3.5% to 5.5%. Higher than expected revenue growth and guidance is bullish for Walmart stock price while earnings miss is a downside risk.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
On Balance Volume		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 96.35
Stop loss	выше 103.35

Технический Анализ #S-GOOG : 2025-08-21

Thu, 21 Aug 2025 09:08:00 +0200

GOOGLE price bias bearish after Alphabet revised Google Play terms

The stock of Alphabet, Google’s parent company, fell 1.14% on Wednesday after reports the company is updating its External Offers Program for the European Union with revised fees and more options for Android developers. Alphabet has made updates to its external offers program to offer more flexibility for developers as part of its continued compliance with the EU Digital Markets Act, or DMA. In March, the EU competition watchdog found Google failed to comply with the region's DMA for two services. The Commission alleged that parent Alphabet treats Google Shopping, Hotels, Flights, etc., "more favorably" in search results versus services offered by third parties and gives "more prominent treatment" to its own offerings. Furthermore, the EC said the company's app store Google Play prevents developers from steering customers to offers and distribution channels of their choice and unjustly charges them for customer acquisition. Revised Google Play terms are designed to make it easier for app developers to steer customers to platforms other than Google after the European Commission found that the company allegedly breached EU's rules. Developers must meet eligibility requirements, and complete their enrollment in this program before promoting external offers. Revision of search results terms that will restrict the favorable treatment of services offered by Google versus services offered by third parties is bearish for Google stock price.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
On Balance Volume		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 197.39
Stop loss	выше 206.08

Технический Анализ GBPUSD : 2025-08-20

Wed, 20 Aug 2025 08:14:00 +0200

GBPUSD forecast bearish despite hot July UK inflation data

UK’s consumer inflation rose more than expected: the Office for National Statistics reported consumer inflation rose to 3.8% over year in July. Analysts expected the rate of consumer price increases in July over the same period a year ago would rise again to 3.7% - the highest in 18 months. Prices rose at an estimated 3.6% annual rate in June, the highest annual inflation rate for nearly a year and a half. The consumer price index rose unexpectedly 0.2% in June to well above the Bank of England target rate of 2%. Fuel prices were a big driver behind the increased rate in June, while food prices rose at their steepest pace since February 2024. Economists expected grocery prices and travel costs to contribute most to July inflation figures. Accelerating UK consumer prices inflation is bullish for Pound and GBPUSD currency pair. However, the current setup is bearish for the currency pair.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
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On Balance Volume		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 1.34608
Stop loss	выше 1.35273

Технический Анализ GB100 : 2025-08-19

Tue, 19 Aug 2025 08:21:00 +0200

GB100 price bullish amid mixed UK reports

Recent UK economic reports for Q2 2025 were mixed: the economy slowed less than forecast while wage growth eased. The Office for National Statistics reported that British economy grew 1.2% over year in Q2, easing slightly from 1.3% in Q1 but beating forecasts of 1%, according to preliminary estimates. Increases in consumption, government spending and external trade were more than offset by decreases in investment. While household spending rose 1.1% from 0.9%, government expenditure increased 1.7% from 1.5%, exports rebounded 3% vs -0.5% increase and import growth slowed to 3.3% from 7.5%, business investment fell to 0.1% from 6.1%. At the same time, private-sector wage growth eased slightly to 4.8% from 4.9% in July and UK payrolls fell just 8,000, the smallest drop since January and far better than forecasts for a 20,000 decline. Bigger than expected UK GDP growth is bullish for British Pound and GBPUSD currency pair.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Купить
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
On Balance Volume		Купить
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Купить
Buy stop	выше 9222.04
Stop loss	ниже 9127.00

Технический Анализ LTCUSD : 2025-08-18

Mon, 18 Aug 2025 08:14:00 +0200

LTCUSD bias bearish despite rising institutional adoption

Litecoin (LTC) has been retreating after the Canadian digital asset company Luxxfolio Holdings announced a goal to accumulate 1 million LTC by 2026 which would represent about 1.2% of Litecoin’s maximum supply. Luxxfolio Holdings, a developer of blockchain technologies including Litecoin infrastructure, highlights Litecoin’s faster transaction speeds, lower fees, and strong security record as key reasons for its focus. Luxxfolio’s strategy is a deliberate shift away from Bitcoin-focused treasury strategies popularized by companies like MicroStrategy. Luxxfolio plans to acquire Litecoin gradually through open market purchases during favorable conditions and by leveraging self-mined LTC to reduce acquisition costs. The company also intends to maintain transparency by publishing its wallet holdings. Plans for increasing institutional portfolio diversification by increasing holding of LTC are bullish for LTCUSD price.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Продать
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Продать
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить
On Balance Volume		Продать

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Продать
Buy stop	ниже 114.93
Stop loss	выше 126.02

Технический Анализ USDCNH : 2025-08-15

Fri, 15 Aug 2025 08:10:00 +0200

USDCNH forecast bearish after softer Chinese industrial production report

China’s industrial output growth was below forecast in July: the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported China’s Industrial Production rose by 5.7% over year in July after the growth of three-month high 4.5% in June when an increase of 5.9% was forecast. Besides the softest increase in industrial production since last November there were also two other soft data points for July: retail sales increased by 3.7% over year in July, down from 4.8% in June, and the fixed investment in January–July period declined from 2.8% year over year rate to 1.6%, much less than market expectations of a 2.7% growth. Slowing Chinese industrial output expansion is bullish for USDCNH currency pair.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Купить
Donchian Channel		Купить
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Продать
Parabolic SAR		Купить
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Продать

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Купить
Buy stop	выше 7.1858
Stop loss	ниже 7.1706

Технический Анализ XAUUSD : 2025-08-14

Thu, 14 Aug 2025 08:04:00 +0200

XAUUSD bias bullish as US mandates mineral production boost

Under the directive titled “Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production,” the US government has committed to developing a strategic supply of domestic minerals. The government has expanded its list of critical metals to include copper, uranium, potash, and gold, alongside traditional battery metals, and has announced a series of executive actions aimed at significantly increasing domestic mineral production. The executive orders will fast-track permitting for mining projects on federal lands, and project financing could be made available through the Defense Production Act. US government policy shift towards increasing domestic mineral production including gold indicates expectations for persistent long-term demand for the precious metal which is bullish for gold.

Индикатор	VALUE	Сигнал
RSI		Продать
MACD		Купить
Donchian Channel		Продать
MA(200)		Купить
Fractals		Купить
Parabolic SAR		Купить
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo		Купить

Резюме технического анализа

Позиция	Купить
Buy stop	выше 3375.03
Stop loss	ниже 3343.53