Weak French data bearish for FR40
Technical Analysis Summary CAC 40: Sell
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral | |
| MACD | Sell | |
| Donchian Channel | Sell | |
| MA(50) | Sell | |
| Fractals | Sell | |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
Chart Analysis
On the daily timeframe FR40: D1 is falling below the 50-day moving average MA(50), which is declining itself. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 4288.45. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 4714.74. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (4714.74) without reaching the order (4288.45), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of -
Economic data from France in recent weeks indicate French economy performance has been deteriorating. Will the FR40 retreat continue?
French economic data in the last couple of weeks were mixed. Contractions in retail sales and private sector business activity were deeper than expected, as was the decline in construction. Retail sales dropped 16% over year in March after 1.2% increase in previous month. The private sector activities contraction speeded up: the final reading of Markit’s composite PMI was revised lower to 11.1 in April after 28.9 reading for previous month. Readings below 50 indicate contraction. However, outflow of payments in current account slowed marginally: the current account deficit narrowed from 3.4 billion euro in February to 3.3 billion in March. And unemployment declined slightly: unemployment rate declined to 7.8% in Q1 from 8.1% in previous quarter. Deteriorating economic data are bearish for FR40.