Weak Hong Kong data bearish for HK50
Tổng quan phân tích kỹ thuật Index chứng khoán Hong Kong: Bán
| Chỉ thị | Giá trị | Tín hiệu |
| RSI | Trung lập | |
| MACD | Bán | |
| Donchian Channel | Bán | |
| MA(200) | Bán | |
| Fractals | Bán | |
| Parabolic SAR | Bán |
Phân tích biểu đồ
On the 4-hour timeframe the HK50: H4 is retracing toward the 200-period moving average MA(200) which is falling itself. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 24468.6. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 25196.0. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (25196) without reaching the order (24468.6), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account
Phân tích vĩ mô -
Hong Kong private sector activity contraction deepened in August. Will the HK50 retreat continue?
Hong Kong economic data of the latest week were weak. Retail sales fell in July, consumer prices inflation reversed into deflation, balance of trade deficit was bigger than expected, and Hong Kong Private sector performance deteriorated in August. Thus, retail sales fell 23.9% over year in July after 25.3% drop in June. Consumer price index declined 2.3% over year in July after 0.7% growth in June. Balance of trade deficit was H$-29.8 billion after H$-33.3 billion in June when a narrowing to H$-27 billion was forecast. And yesterday Markit reported Hong Kong PMI fell to 44.0 in August from 44.5 a month earlier. Readings below 50 indicate sector contraction. Continuing weakness in economic activity is bearish for HK50.