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From ChatGPT to the Department of War
This situation is a classic example of corporate chess. By early 2026, OpenAI was in trouble. They were spending $17 billion a year more than they were making. Regular people weren't signing up for ChatGPT...
NVIDIA $117 Billion Trap
Behind Nvidia record breaking revenue there is a catastrophic threat. There is a dangerous dependence on the supply chain (annual report): purchase obligations to partners have risen nearly six times in...
Private Market in 2026: Blue Owl Capital
In the past few months Blue Owl Capital stock prices fell impressively - 40%. Blue Owl is dealing with big issues - they had to stop letting investors take their money out, a merger that fell apart, and...
Why FedEx is Suing US Government
On the surface FedEx’s recent lawsuit against the U.S. government appears to be a crusade for corporate fairness and tax justice. And yet a deeper analysis looks like legal maneuvers, far more pragmatic...
Jamie Dimon: The Cockroach Theory
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is seeing cockroaches in the financial system, and as we know they don't come alone, so buckle up. In a recent address to investors, Dimon drew a direct parallel between...
Hormuz Bottleneck
The Strait of Hormuz, just 21 miles wide at its narrowest point, is currently closed. Through this corridor flows roughly 20% of the world’s traded oil, but the Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)...
Iran Secret Overture to the CIA
A day after US and Israeli strikes began raining down on Iranian territory, operatives from Iran Ministry of Intelligence made a quiet move: a backchannel approach to the CIA, offering to discuss terms...
Why China Wins When Oil Prices Spike
Key Takeaways The Paradox - China's import dependence doesn't translate to vulnerability The Stockpile Advantage - the 1.13-2M bpd surplus buffer and how it's deployed Supply Diversification - Russia and...
Will Gold Keep Rising
Since 2020 gold price climbed more than 230% at the same time central banks started one of the biggest buying waves in decades. 15 biggest buyers alone added almost 2,000 tonnes over five years. Central...
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