마켓 기회 : 주 24-11-2025 - 28-11-2025

The United States New Home Sales report on 26 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT is an important event for the US Dollar Index. Housing data affects how traders see the Federal Reserve’s next move, and the Fed is the main driver of the Dollar’s value.

Previous (Aug 2025): 800,000 units (SAAR)

Forecast: 710,000 units (SAAR)

Markets expect sales to drop because high mortgage rates are slowing demand. Most of this slowdown is already priced in, so the US Dollar Index will react mainly to how much the actual number differs from the 710K forecast.

US Dollar Index Bullish Opportunity

Trigger: Actual New Home Sales 750,000 or higher

A result well above 710K would show that the housing market is still strong. Traders would see this as a sign that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer to control inflation.

US Dollar Index Action: A fast and strong move higher as markets reduce the chances of near-term rate cuts.

US Dollar Index Bearish Opportunity

Trigger: Actual New Home Sales 650,000 or lower

A weak number would confirm that housing is slowing quickly. This would increase concerns about the economy and support the case for earlier Fed rate cuts.

US Dollar Index Action: A clear drop in the US Dollar Index as lower rate expectations make the Dollar less attractive.

Neutral Outcome

Trigger: Actual result between 680,000 and 740,000

Results close to the forecast would mean no major surprise. The DXY may show a quick reaction but should return to its current trend.