AUD USD 기술적 분석 - AUD USD 거래: 2025-08-12

Australian dollar declined after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.6% at its August meeting today, in line with market expectations. RBA started the latest rate cut cycle since the start of the year in response to a sharp slowdown in inflation from its 2022 peak. The central bank has cut the interest rat by a cumulative 75 basis points as the labor market eased and inflation returned to the RBA’s 2–3% target range. Central bank remains cautious amid rising uncertainty in domestic and global conditions, including trade policies that could dampen growth. Continued easing policies by the RBA against the backdrop of concerns about growth slowdown are bearish for Australian dollar and AUDUSD currency pair. At the same time, Australia’s NAB survey indicated a pickup in activity through Q2, supporting the view that global concerns have not significantly impacted local hiring or investment decisions. Australia’s NAB Business Confidence Index rose to 7 in July from 5 in the prior month, marking its fourth consecutive monthly gain. Rising Australia business sentiment is an upside risk for AUDUSD.