- Analýza
- Technická analýza
Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu Technická analýza - Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu Obchodování: 2021-03-23
Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu Technical Analysis Summary
níže 5330
Sell Stop
výše 4750
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Sell |
| MACD | Sell |
| MA(200) | Neutrální |
| Fractals | Neutrální |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
| Bollinger Bands | Neutrální |
Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu Chart Analysis
Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu Technická analýza
On the daily timeframe, BRENT/RUB: D1 breached down the uptrend support line. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a further drop. We do not exclude a bearish move if BRENT/RUB falls below the last low: 4750. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss above the high since October 2018 and the Parabolic signal: 5330. After opening the pending order, we can move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal maximum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (5330) without activating the order (4750), it is recommended to delete the order: the market sustains internal changes that have not been taken into account.
Fundamentální analýza PCI - Ropa BRENT vůci Rublu
In this review, we suggest considering the "BRENT vs the Ruble" personal composite instrument (PCI). It reflects the dynamics of changes in the cost of a Brent barrel against the Russian currency. Will the BRENT/RUB quotes go down?
PCI declines when oil gets cheaper and the ruble strengthens against the US dollar and, on the contrary, it grows when oil prices rise while the ruble weakens. By contrast, the Russian currency tends to strengthen at high oil prices and weaken at low oil prices. Because of this, BRENT/RUB quotes usually fluctuate around their long-term, 200-day moving average. Now they have deviated noticeably from it. In other words, the ruble remains weak against the US dollar despite strong growth in world oil prices. Recall that the all-time high of this PCI was at 5909 in October 2018. Now it is below this level, but at the same time, it breached down the upward trend line. PCI fluctuations around the moving average are due to the Russian export structure. According to Russian Customs statistics, the share of fuel and energy products exported from Russia to non-CIS countries in 2020 amounted to 53.8% (66.9% in January-December 2019). The slight decrease is due to the drop in world oil prices because of the coronavirus pandemic.
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