fb#C-BRENT Price Forecast | OPEC+ may cut production in case of 2nd wave of coronavirus and drop in oil demand | IFCM

Technical Analysis #C-BRENT : 2020-10-15

Recommendation for Brent Crude:

Buy
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 43,8

Buy Stop

Below 38,8

Stop Loss

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IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Buy
MACD Buy
Parabolic SAR Buy
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Bollinger Bands Neutral

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Brent: D1 has exceeded the resistance line of the short-term downtrend. It is trying to continue the upward trend, but is currently traded in a narrow range. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for further growth. We do not exclude a bullish movement if Brent rises above the last upper fractal: 43.8. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss below the Parabolic signal, the last 2 lower fractals and the lower Bollinger line: 38.8. After opening a pending order, we move the stop loss to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and set a stop-loss, moving it in the direction of movement. If the price meets the stop loss (38.8) without activating the order (43.8), it is recommended to delete the order: market sustains some internal changes not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

The leaders of Saudi Arabia and Russia held negotiations on the regulation of the oil market. Will the Brent quotes grow?

Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to adhere to the current restrictions on oil production and call on other OPEC + members to do so. They also agreed to apply concerted action to further restrict production should oil demand fall. This can reduce the risks of oil prices drop if the 2nd wave of the coronavirus pandemic spreads. Earlier, world oil prices rose due to increased demand from China. In September 2020, China imported 11.8 million barrels per day. This is 5.5% more than in August this year and 17.5% more than in September 2019. The International Energy Agency noted that the oil supply in the world market in September 2020 was 9% less than last year. OPEC predicts an increase in global oil demand by 6.56 million barrels per day to 96.84 million in 2021. That's 0.2% less than its previous estimate of demand. In theory, a slow recovery in global demand could delay OPEC's oil production ramp-up.

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