fbAU200 Forecast | Mixed data bearish for AU200 | IFCM

Technical Analysis AU200 : 2020-09-10

Recommendation for ASX 200 Index:

Sell
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Below 5815.27

Sell Stop

Above 6123.13

Stop Loss

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Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 1590
IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Sell
Donchian Channel Sell
MA(200) Sell
Fractals Sell
Parabolic SAR Sell
Fibonacci Neutral

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe the AU200: Daily is retracing lower under the 200-day moving average MA(200). We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 5815.27. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 6123.13. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (6123.13) without reaching the order (5815.27), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account

Fundamental Analysis

Consumer sentiment, retail sales rose while trade surplus declined in Australia. Will the AU200 decline continue?

Australia’s economic data of the latest week were mixed. Retail sales rose in June, trade surplus declined more than expected, business confidence rose in August while remaining very weak, though consumer confidence improved. Thus, retail sales rose 3.2% over month in July after 2.7% growth in June, the Melbourne Institute and Westpac Bank Consumer Sentiment Index for Australia rose 18% over month to 93.8 in September after a 9.5% fall a month earlier. At the same time business confidence remained fragile despite a National Australia Bank index’s increase to -8 in August from -14 in the previous month. And the trade surplus declined to A$4.6 billion in July from A$8.1 billion in June when a decline to A$5 billion was forecast. Mixed Australian economic data are bearish for AU200.

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