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COPPER Technical Analysis - COPPER Trading: 2021-06-16
Copper Technical Analysis Summary
Below 4,25
Sell Stop
Above 4,85
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Sell |
| MACD | Sell |
| MA(200) | Neutral |
| Fractals | Sell |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
| Bollinger Bands | Neutral |
Copper Chart Analysis
Copper Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, COPPER: D1 broke down the support line of the ascending channel and went down from the triangle. A number of technical analysis indicators have generated signals for further decline. We are not ruling out a bearish movement if COPPER: D1 falls below the last low: 107. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial risk limitation is possible above the all-time high, the last 5 high fractals, the upper Bollinger band and the Parabolic signal: 4.85. After opening a pending order, move the stop to the next fractal maximum following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. The most cautious traders, after making a deal, can go to the four-hour chart and set a stop-loss, moving it in the direction of movement. If the price overcomes the stop level (4.85) without activating the order (4.25), it is recommended to delete the order: there are internal changes in the market that were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Commodities - Copper
The Chinese authorities have reiterated that they will fight against rising commodity prices. Will the decline of COPPER quotes continue?
In May, China's PPI reached a 12-year high of 9%. According to the country's leadership, this could pose a threat to economic growth. Investors do not exclude that in order to reduce world prices for non-ferrous metals, China may sell a small part of the state reserves of copper, aluminum and zinc. On June 16, economic data for May will be released in China, which may affect copper quotes: industrial production, retail sales and unemployment. The outlook is negative. Another bad news for copper may be the announcement by the Canadian company Ivanhoe Mines that the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine in Congo has begun operations. In 2021, it is expected to produce 175-210 million pounds of copper and further increase production to 880 million pounds. Phase 3 of the mine will produce 1.2 billion pounds of copper per year. As a reminder, in addition to Kamoa-Kakula in the Congo, 2 more large copper mines are expected to be commissioned - Quellaveco in Peru and Quebrada Blanca in Chile. The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) predicts a 3.5% increase in global copper production this year and another 3.7% in 2022. In general, the quotes of commodities may be affected by the Fed meeting on June 16.
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