#C-CORN Price Forecast | Estimates of increased US corn planting bearish for corn price | IFCM

Technical Analysis #C-CORN : 2020-04-03

Recommendation for Corn :

Sell
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Below 335.3

Sell Stop

Above 354

Stop Loss

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IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Neutral
Donchian Channel Sell
MA(200) Sell
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Sell

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe #C-CORN: D1 is falling under the 200-day moving average MA(200), which is falling itself. We believe the bearish momentum will continue as the price breaches below the lower Donchian boundary at 335.3. A pending order to sell can be placed below that level. The stop loss can be placed above 354. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

US farmers plan to increase corn planting in new season. Will the CORN price continue falling?

US farmers plan to increase corn acreage as soybean prices have collapsed. Farmers intend to plant 96.99 million acres (MA) of corn in 2020/21, which would be 7.29 MA above last year’s planting -according to the Planting Intentions survey results by USDA. And falling crude oil prices make corn usage for bioethanol production less attractive, lowering corn demand. Ethanol production per day fell 165,000 barrels over week in the week ending March 27. It averaged 840,000 barrels per day - the lowest weekly production since September 2013. Lower demand and higher expected supply are bearish for corn prices.

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