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GBP USD Technical Analysis - GBP USD Trading: 2020-09-09
GBP/USD Technical Analysis Summary
Below 1.2981
Sell Stop
Above 1.3481
Stop Loss
Indicator | Signal |
RSI | Neutral |
MACD | Sell |
Donchian Channel | Sell |
MA(200) | Buy |
Fractals | Neutral |
Parabolic SAR | Sell |
GBP/USD Chart Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe GBPUSD: Daily is declining toward the 200-day moving average MA(200) which is rising. We believe the bearish movement will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 1.2918. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 1.3481. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - GBP/USD
Uncertainty over UK trade deal with the European Union weighs on Pound. Will the GBPUSD continue falling?
United Kingdom is far from reaching a trade deal with the European Union, moreover the UK government has announced it will publish today a proposal for domestic legislation that revokes the “political declaration” on international obligations with respect to Norther Ireland border signed with the EU a year ago. The EU accounts for nearly 50% of UK’s foreign trade. The uncertainty about a trade deal with EU weighs on British Pound. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to abandon the talks if no deal is struck by October 15. The downside risk of the prospect of no deal with the EU clearly outweigh recent positive UK reports such as better than expected nationwide housing prices rebound in August, as well as accelerating expansion in private sector activities as evidenced by better than expected Composite PMI report by Markit.
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