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AUD USD Technical Analysis - AUD USD Trading: 2025-07-31
AUD/USD Technical Analysis Summary
Above 0.64698
Buy Stop
Below 0.64391
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Buy |
| Donchian Channel | Buy |
| MA(200) | Sell |
| Fractals | Neutral |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
AUD/USD Chart Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
The AUDUSD technical analysis of the price chart on 1-hour timeframe shows AUDUSD, H1 is retracing up toward the 200-period moving average MA(200) after retreating to 1-week low yesterday. We believe the bullish movement will continue after the price breaches above the upper bound of the Donchian channel at 0.64698. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 0.64391. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal low indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - AUD/USD
Australia’s retail sales rose sharply in June. Will the AUDUSD price rebound?
Australia’s retail sales growth accelerated in June when a slowing was expected: the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported Australia’s retail sales rose 1.1% over month in June after upwardly revised 0.5% growth in previous month, when 0.4% growth was forecast. This was the strongest monthly growth since March 2022. Slower growth for clothing, footwear, and department stores sales didn’t offset stronger gains in food and household goods sales. Retail sales jumped 4.9% over year - the highest since March 2023, accelerating from a 3.5% increase in May. Rising retail sales is bullish for Australian dollar and hence AUDUSD. At the same time, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported the previous day consumer prices In Australia rose at the slowest pace in over four years in Q2 - 2.1% over year. The weaker inflation report reinforced markets expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Reserve Bank of Australia ’s August meeting. Expectations of an August rate cut by the RBA are downside risk for the AUDUSD pair.
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This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.