WTI Crude Technical Analysis | WTI Crude Trading: 2020-08-03 | IFCM
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WTI Crude Technical Analysis - WTI Crude Trading: 2020-08-03

WTI Technical Analysis Summary

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Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Below 39

Sell Stop

Above 43

Stop Loss

Mary Wild
Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 2058
IndicatorSignal
RSI Sell
MACD Neutral
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Sell
Bollinger Bands Neutral

WTI Chart Analysis

WTI Chart Analysis

WTI Technical Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Oil: D1 is being traded in a narrow neutral range for almost 2 months. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a decline. We do not rule out a bearish movement if Oil falls below the lower Bollinger band: 39. This level can be used as an entry point. We can set a stop loss above the last two upper fractals, the upper Bollinger line, the 200-day moving average line and the Parabolic signal: 43. After opening a pending order, we should move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal low. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. The most risk-averse traders, after the transaction, can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (43) without activating the order (39), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market have not been taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis of Commodities - WTI

Since August 1, 2020, OPEC + countries will increase oil production by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd). Will oil quotes go down ?

On July 15, 2020, the OPEC + countries agreed to reduce the oil production limit from 9.7 million bpd to 7.7 million bpd from August 1. This means that the difference (or 2 million bpd) will additionally enter the world market. The real increase will be less, and will amount to 1.5 million bpd, as a number of countries such as Iraq and Nigeria have exceeded their oil production quotas in the past. In May, the overall OPEC + reduction quota was met by only 87%, bringing additional 1.26 million barrels per day to the world market. This did not prevent the growth in oil quotes. In June, the quota was met by 107%. The next increase in production, by another 2 million bpd, is expected only in early 2021, when the OPEC + production limit will be reduced to 5.7 million bpd. The continuation of the coronavirus pandemic may be another negative factor for oil prices. A number of countries are inclined to reintroduce quarantine, which will lead to lower demand.

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Note:
This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.

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